Murciélagos vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PAC
1 - 2
MUR
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
MUR
2 - 2
COR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
GAV
2 - 1
MUR
28%
26%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
MUR
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 0
TAM
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DUR
1 - 0
REY
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
DUR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DUR
2 - 2
NAY
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REB
1 - 0
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
DUR
0 - 1
REB
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |