Murciélagos vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
70.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CIM
2 - 1
MUR
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ATS
4 - 1
MUR
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
JUA
19%
26%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 1
MUR
65%
22%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
ATS
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 0
TEP
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 0
TIJ
31%
24%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 0
LOB
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDG
3 - 1
TEP
48%
29%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TEP
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |