Murchante vs Zarramonza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
LOU
1 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
IDO
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
2 - 1
OBE
59%
23%
18%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CDA
0 - 3
MUR
39%
27%
34%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 3
SJU
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Zarramonza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 2
OBE
18%
23%
59%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CDA
3 - 1
ZAR
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 2
SJU
18%
23%
59%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 0
ZAR
83%
12%
5%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ZAR
1 - 1
RIV
25%
25%
51%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |