Murchante vs Mutilvera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
LAG
1 - 2
MUR
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ALU
2 - 0
MUR
46%
27%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDB
50%
26%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
OBE
4 - 0
MUR
46%
27%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
MUR
4 - 2
UDM
33%
29%
38%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
UDM
2 - 1
LAG
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 3
UDM
27%
28%
46%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
UDM
4 - 0
LAG
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
AOI
1 - 2
UDM
27%
29%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
UDM
1 - 0
TUD
55%
26%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |