Murchante vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-82%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 0
COR
37%
28%
35%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 4
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 0
CDB
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUB
0 - 3
MUR
62%
19%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 4
CDA
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 4
PEÑ
19%
21%
59%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CDC
1 - 2
PEÑ
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |