Murchante vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-85%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
HUA
2 - 0
MUR
38%
28%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
0 - 2
LAG
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
AOI
0 - 1
MUR
37%
29%
34%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MUR
2 - 1
TUD
46%
27%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
IZA
3 - 3
BUR
43%
28%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SUB
1 - 0
IZA
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
IZA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
IZA
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
IZA
1 - 3
CDU
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |