Muravera vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
AFR
2 - 1
MUR
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 3
GLA
36%
25%
39%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 3
MUR
36%
23%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
VIS
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MUR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
APR
4 - 1
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TNF
2 - 1
APR
55%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
APR
0 - 3
SAS
29%
28%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
APR
1 - 1
SSC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |