Murata vs San Giovanni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
4 - 1
SMA
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 0
MUR
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
TFI
33%
27%
41%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
MUR
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
San Giovanni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 1
TPE
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TFI
4 - 0
SGI
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
SGI
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
SGI
1 - 2
FIO
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 5
SGI
15%
20%
65%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | +1 |