Coppa Titano . Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Murata vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MUR
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DOM
0 - 1
MUR
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MUR
3 - 1
TFI
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FAE
1 - 4
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SGI
0 - 0
MUR
54%
21%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 2
LIB
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 1
FIO
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 3
FIO
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 1
SGI
77%
16%
6%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
4 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |