Murata vs Domagnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
TFI
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
FOL
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SGI
0 - 4
MUR
27%
23%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
PEN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 2
DOM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
COS
3 - 1
DOM
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |