Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
TAM
2 - 0
MUR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 2
TAM
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
TFI
0 - 4
MUR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 2
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
MUR
3 - 0
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
COS
1 - 6
TFI
21%
24%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2007 |
COS
2 - 3
FIO
30%
24%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
VIR
4 - 1
COS
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2007 |
CAI
2 - 3
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |