NS Mura vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BEL
2 - 3
NSM
15%
20%
65%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
NSM
1 - 0
ZRI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 2
NSM
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NSM
4 - 2
GOR
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
NSM
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
STR
6 - 1
TBG
86%
10%
4%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 5
STR
5%
12%
84%
|
81 | 13 | 68 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
LAS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
RAP
3 - 2
STR
45%
24%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RBS
2 - 1
STR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |