NS Mura vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NSM
4 - 3
DOM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
NSM
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
NSM
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 1
FCS
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 2
NSM
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
NSM
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
STP
1 - 1
DUN
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
STP
3 - 0
DRO
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
STP
1 - 2
SHR
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
FIN
2 - 2
STP
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |