NS Mura vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
11%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
8º
5º
27
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 1
NSM
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
5 - 1
NSM
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
NSM
1 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TAS
0 - 4
NSM
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
NKA
1 - 2
NSM
3%
9%
88%
|
73 | 16 | 57 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 2
CEL
25%
27%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
5 - 1
GOR
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
0 - 0
OLI
18%
25%
57%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
GOR
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
1 - 1
GOR
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |