NS Mura vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
NSM
2 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 1
NSM
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
DRA
2 - 0
NSM
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NSM
1 - 2
ALU
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
NSM
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
FCK
3 - 0
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
GOR
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 1
TAS
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |