Mura 05 vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mura 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KRS
3 - 2
MUR
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BEL
3 - 1
MUR
33%
25%
41%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 0
NKS
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SEN
1 - 1
MUR
35%
25%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MUR
1 - 1
NKP
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
CEL
3 - 1
NKI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NKD
0 - 1
CEL
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 2
NKN
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCK
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 3
DOM
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |