Apertura Guatemala . Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Municipal vs Deportivo Petapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
VEN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 1
MUN
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Petapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
COB
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
DSA
0 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
3 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 3
DEP
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |