Clausura Guatemala . Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Municipal vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
30%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 0
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
MUN
0 - 1
ANT
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
3 - 1
IZT
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
MUN
2 - 0
NUE
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 1
MUN
37%
30%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 0
MUN
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
IZT
3 - 2
ACH
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACH
3 - 0
COB
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 1
ACH
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |