Municipal Limeño vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
MUN
63%
21%
15%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 1
FAS
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PAS
0 - 1
MUN
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 3
FIR
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
5 - 2
MUN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
CDD
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 1
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 2
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
FAS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PAS
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |