Municipal Limeño vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 2
MUN
7%
14%
79%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
UES
2 - 4
MUN
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
RSE
0 - 2
MUN
6%
14%
80%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 1
SFC
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
MET
1 - 1
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
ALI
27%
22%
51%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
CDD
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 3
ALI
42%
25%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 3
ALI
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
ALI
4 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |