Mülheimer FC 97 vs Union Frintrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+188%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
18º
15º
32
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 71 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 66 |
2º
|
72.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 62 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 57 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 56 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 56 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 54 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 46 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 43 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 40 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 40 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 35 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 35 |
17º
|
34% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
18º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 61.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
MFC
71%
15%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SON
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NET
2 - 1
MFC
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
HIL
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
MFC
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 4
SWE
8%
13%
78%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
7 - 1
DJK
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 1
DJK
91%
6%
3%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
SON
14%
18%
67%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NET
1 - 1
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |