Muleño CF vs Alcantarilla FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
16º
15º
25
9º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
BUL
2 - 0
MUL
32%
24%
44%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MUL
2 - 2
UCA
23%
25%
53%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RMC
2 - 1
MUL
74%
17%
10%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUL
63%
20%
17%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MUL
1 - 3
MIN
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alcantarilla FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
0 - 0
LAU
19%
23%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
ALC
84%
12%
4%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
MSM
37%
26%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |