Muleño CF vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 0
MUL
57%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MUL
0 - 0
AGU
30%
26%
45%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 3
MUL
56%
23%
22%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MUL
3 - 0
CDA
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MUL
0 - 1
MAZ
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 1
MAZ
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAP
0 - 3
LOR
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 0
UDL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 1
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
UCA
75%
16%
9%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |