Hohenwestedt vs Oldenburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
48%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
16º
13º
33
8º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hohenwestedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
4 - 1
HOH
58%
19%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ITK
1 - 3
HOH
87%
8%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
0 - 4
PRR
41%
22%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
EIC
3 - 0
HOH
86%
10%
5%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
2 - 6
UNI
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Oldenburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
1 - 0
VFR
54%
20%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OLD
2 - 2
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
3 - 2
OLD
47%
21%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
OLD
0 - 4
TOD
11%
15%
75%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ITK
1 - 6
OLD
83%
10%
7%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |