MTK Budapest vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
10º
8º
37
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 56 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 44 |
8º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
9º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MTK
3 - 2
BBY
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
MTK
1 - 1
BUD
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MTK
0 - 0
GYI
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MTK
5 - 4
KOZ
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
MTK
2 - 4
MAG
29%
21%
50%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
UJP
2 - 1
GOS
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
UJP
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SSG
0 - 0
UJP
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
4 - 0
UJP
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZTE
1 - 1
UJP
37%
26%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |