MTK Budapest vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
25.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1990 |
SAM
2 - 1
MTK
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 0
PEC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
MTK
5 - 1
SZO
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
VAS
2 - 1
MTK
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
MTK
1 - 2
VES
66%
22%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1990 |
FCL
5 - 1
ZUR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
FCW
1 - 2
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1990 |
SER
2 - 3
FCL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1990 |
FCL
3 - 1
STG
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1990 |
FCL
0 - 2
GCZ
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |