UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 3-2
MTK Budapest vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
2 - 1
SOP
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
2 - 0
FTC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
UJP
0 - 1
MTK
49%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
MTK
3 - 1
BFC
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
MTK
3 - 1
GYO
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
2 - 1
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
1 - 0
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCJ
2 - 6
HJK
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 0
HJK
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
1 - 1
TPS
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |