MTK Budapest vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
8º
45
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DVS
1 - 3
MTK
63%
21%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 0
KTE
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 0
VAR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ZTE
2 - 1
MTK
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 1
PAK
20%
20%
60%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DIO
2 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ZTE
1 - 3
DIO
48%
25%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DIO
1 - 1
PAK
23%
22%
55%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 4
DIO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DIO
0 - 1
PUS
28%
27%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |