Mtibwa Sugar vs Ndanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 2
MTI
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
MTI
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 2
COA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MTI
2 - 0
RUV
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MTI
0 - 1
JKT
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ndanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NDA
1 - 0
COA
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NDA
1 - 1
JKT
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
NDA
1 - 0
YOU
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NDA
2 - 0
KAG
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SIM
3 - 0
NDA
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |