MSV Duisburg vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
MSV
0 - 0
HAL
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 1
MSV
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
MSV
1 - 3
VIK
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
MSV
2 - 3
SAA
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MUN
0 - 2
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
VER
1 - 2
LUB
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAA
1 - 2
VER
61%
22%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
VER
3 - 1
MAG
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
ING
2 - 1
VER
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
VER
2 - 3
ROS
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |