Bundesliga round 10

MSV Duisburg vs Schalke 04 analysis

MSV Duisburg Schalke 04
75 ELO 77
4.4% Tilt 5.2%
2387º General ELO ranking 488º
70º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
44.1%
MSV Duisburg
26.2%
Draw
29.8%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+6%
-12%
Schalke 04

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1991
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
51%
24%
25%
74 71 3 0
08 Sep. 1991
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 0
Hansa Rostock
ROS
38%
27%
35%
73 80 7 +1
30 Aug. 1991
BRE
Werder Bremen
5 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
69%
20%
12%
74 84 10 -1
27 Aug. 1991
MSV
MSV Duisburg
6 - 2
Karlsruher SC
KSC
46%
26%
28%
73 75 2 +1
21 Aug. 1991
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
MSV Duisburg
MSV
53%
25%
22%
73 78 5 0

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 1991
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 0
B. Leverkusen
LEV
54%
25%
22%
78 79 1 0
07 Sep. 1991
WAT
Wattenscheid 09
1 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
42%
27%
32%
77 74 3 +1
30 Aug. 1991
S04
Schalke 04
3 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
53%
24%
23%
77 76 1 0
27 Aug. 1991
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
62%
22%
17%
77 82 5 0
24 Aug. 1991
S04
Schalke 04
5 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
43%
26%
32%
76 80 4 +1