MSV Duisburg vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
SVS
1 - 0
MSV
62%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1991 |
KFC
1 - 4
MSV
59%
20%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 1
S04
43%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
WAL
4 - 0
MSV
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
MSV
4 - 0
MEP
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
HOM
6 - 1
SCH
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1991 |
SAA
0 - 0
HOM
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
HAV
1 - 1
HOM
33%
29%
39%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
HOM
2 - 3
OSN
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
EBT
1 - 0
HOM
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |