MSV Duisburg vs Hamburger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HEI
4 - 1
MSV
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MSV
0 - 4
HOL
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
ARB
0 - 1
MSV
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MSV
1 - 1
OSN
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
SVS
0 - 0
MSV
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
HSV
1 - 0
PAD
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ING
1 - 2
HSV
19%
24%
57%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
HSV
2 - 2
FCU
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
HSV
16%
23%
61%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
HSV
1 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |