MSC vs SC Erica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
STE
2 - 2
MSC
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MSC
5 - 1
HOO
61%
20%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MSC
3 - 0
STE
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
GVA
5 - 1
MSC
26%
24%
51%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -3 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MSC
2 - 1
TUB
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
SC Erica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SCE
1 - 1
SVB
38%
24%
37%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VVA
1 - 1
SCE
45%
24%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SCE
1 - 0
GRO
43%
25%
33%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SCE
1 - 1
STE
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HOO
7 - 2
SCE
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |