MSC vs LONGA '30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BEQ
2 - 1
MSC
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAB
2 - 4
MSC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MSC
3 - 2
RKH
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 3
MSC
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MSC
1 - 2
ROH
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
LONGA '30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
LON
1 - 2
RKH
66%
19%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 1
LON
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LON
0 - 0
ROH
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LON
5 - 3
PHA
75%
16%
10%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
WSV
0 - 7
LON
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |