MS ABDB vs NBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
MSA
2 - 1
IND
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2009 |
JER
1 - 1
MSA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
AMG
2 - 1
MSA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
BSR
2 - 3
MSA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
MSA
2 - 0
AMG
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
MAJ
3 - 0
NBT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
IND
2 - 0
NBT
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
NBT
1 - 4
AHU
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
NBT
1 - 4
JER
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
AHU
3 - 2
NBT
48%
23%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |