MS ABDB vs Bakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IKL
0 - 4
MSA
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
7 - 1
SPE
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 3
MSA
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
2 - 0
IKL
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 10
IND
14%
15%
71%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
1 - 1
BAW
49%
21%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PMU
3 - 4
BKA
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
KBE
2 - 1
BKA
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |