First Division round 14

Mqabba FC vs Marsa FC analysis

Mqabba FC Marsa FC
50 ELO 48
2.2% Tilt -1.8%
16930º General ELO ranking 2818º
54º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
56.2%
Mqabba FC
22.6%
Draw
21.3%
Marsa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
Mqabba FC
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.3%
Win probability
Marsa FC
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mqabba FC
-10%
-17%
Marsa FC

ELO progression

Mqabba FC
Marsa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mqabba FC
Mqabba FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2017
MQA
Mqabba FC
3 - 3
Lija
LIJ
37%
26%
38%
51 54 3 0
18 Dec. 2016
PIE
Pieta Hotspurs
4 - 0
Mqabba FC
MQA
40%
27%
34%
52 49 3 -1
13 Dec. 2016
SIG
Siggiewi
0 - 2
Mqabba FC
MQA
25%
25%
51%
51 43 8 +1
10 Dec. 2016
MQA
Mqabba FC
0 - 0
Senglea Athletic
SEN
38%
27%
36%
51 56 5 0
02 Dec. 2016
SIR
Sirens
0 - 1
Mqabba FC
MQA
47%
24%
29%
51 49 2 0

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Jan. 2017
ZEB
Zebbug Rangers
1 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
48%
24%
28%
47 46 1 0
18 Dec. 2016
LIJ
Lija
4 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
62%
22%
17%
48 53 5 -1
11 Dec. 2016
MAR
Marsa FC
1 - 2
Pieta Hotspurs
PIE
46%
24%
30%
48 48 0 0
04 Dec. 2016
SEN
Senglea Athletic
1 - 2
Marsa FC
MAR
69%
19%
12%
47 56 9 +1
30 Nov. 2016
MAR
Marsa FC
3 - 2
Xewkija Tigers
XEW
60%
21%
19%
47 41 6 0