MTN8 Cup South Africa Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Cape Town City FC vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 1
MPU
38%
27%
36%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 1
MPU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MPU
3 - 1
RIB
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MPU
1 - 1
TSG
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
MPU
2 - 0
SWA
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
SSU
46%
25%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SAD
3 - 2
PIR
48%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 1
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
SEV
0 - 2
PIR
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PLY
2 - 2
PIR
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |