Cape Town City FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
MPU
2 - 2
BAR
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
SSU
0 - 1
MPU
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MPU
3 - 2
BLO
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
MPU
1 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
MPU
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
FRE
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 2
BID
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
PIR
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
SSU
36%
29%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 1
FRE
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |