Cape Town City FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
MPU
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
MPU
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
MPU
0 - 1
BLO
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 1
SSU
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AJA
0 - 2
MPU
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BID
4 - 2
FRE
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 1
PLS
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 0
AJA
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRE
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
POL
2 - 3
FRE
51%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |