Cape Town City FC vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
MPU
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2017 |
MPU
3 - 2
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
MPU
1 - 1
BID
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PLS
2 - 4
MPU
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
MPU
4 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
POL
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
PLS
1 - 1
FRE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 1
SUN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 1
FRE
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 4
PIR
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |