Moyola Park vs Banbridge Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
7º
5º
20
8º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
MOY
0 - 2
GLE
11%
18%
72%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 2
MOY
34%
24%
43%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUB
3 - 1
MOY
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOY
3 - 0
DOL
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BMI
1 - 6
MOY
6%
11%
83%
|
44 | 10 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Banbridge Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
BAN
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 0
BAN
64%
19%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 3
BAN
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BRF
3 - 5
BAN
62%
19%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
EBE
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |