Moura vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
MOU
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
BMA
1 - 0
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |