Mount Pleasant vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
3º
41
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAV
0 - 1
MPA
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MPA
0 - 0
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 1
MPA
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
MPA
3 - 1
TRI
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MPA
2 - 1
FSC
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
VER
0 - 1
WAT
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 1
CMF
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WAT
0 - 2
ARN
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
WAT
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |