Moulins vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 1
MOU
38%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 1
SOC
69%
19%
12%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FLE
0 - 0
MOU
39%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
YZE
0 - 0
MOU
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SAE
1 - 4
SOC
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
1 - 0
SAE
59%
24%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
JUR
2 - 2
SAE
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SAE
1 - 1
FLE
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAE
3 - 1
RAO
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |