Motor Lublin vs Olimpia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
STA
3 - 1
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOT
3 - 3
WIS
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PEL
4 - 1
MOT
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LIM
3 - 2
MOT
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MOT
2 - 2
RAD
45%
25%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIM
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
RAD
3 - 0
OLI
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 1
SWI
51%
26%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
OLI
35%
28%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 1
CON
62%
23%
15%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |