Moto Club MA vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 1
MOT
24%
27%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
JCA
0 - 1
MOT
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 1
PAC
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 2
TOC
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 3
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
PAC
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
FPI
3 - 1
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
4DE
61%
23%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 3
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
JCA
1 - 0
CAS
15%
22%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -2 |