Moto Club MA vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MOT
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
IAP
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 1
JCA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PMA
1 - 1
MOT
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
PAC
50%
27%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
FPI
1 - 0
4DE
53%
23%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
1 - 1
FPI
24%
23%
54%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
4DE
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |