Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GLA
1 - 1
MHE
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
CEL
2 - 1
MHE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MHE
2 - 1
DUN
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MHE
5 - 0
KIL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 1
MHE
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
STM
1 - 1
ICT
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
STM
2 - 3
GLA
25%
27%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FAL
1 - 1
STM
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
DUN
2 - 1
STM
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |